Friday, April 20, 2018

Saturday, April 14, 2018

April 16, 2018 weekly outlook

If you have followed my blog you should have noticed that one cycle spans two or more shorter cycles.  Generally we focus on shorter span cycles for swing trading.  The Wall cycle (20 week cycle) is the longest cycle we use for our trading:


The same  principle applies that longer cycles span multiple cycles of shorter time spans.  For example there is a cycle called the Kitchin cycle (named for a man of that name).  Ideally a Kitchin cycle is 42 months long but may vary some (so it is 3 1/2 years long and encompasses 3X 14 month cycles referred to as Third of a Kitchin cycle.  A Third of a Kitchin is 14 months or 3X20 weeks. (20 week cycle is often called the Wall Cycle (this cycle was first identified by PQ Wall) . So you can see why I rely heavily on the 20 week cycle.



Hope this helps you with your own analysis.  Good Luck traders

Sunday, April 8, 2018

April 09, 2018 weekly outlook

As expected the past week saw retesting of major index lows.  About 20 points lower at the close on the Dow Jones Transport index would have triggered a Dow Theory Sell signal.

An Intermediate Cycle Low  (ICL) is expected as early as this week, but could be later in April.


Good Luck Traders

Friday, March 30, 2018

Monday, March 26, 2018

Mar 25, 2018 weekly outlook

Market should turn down by end of week and test last week's lows early April



 


Blessed Easter traders

Friday, March 16, 2018

Mar 19, 2018 weekly outlook

The prior week was down.  The major averages were down a fraction of 1%,  Still my call for an up week was off target.

Here is the outlook for the coming week:


5 week, 10 week, 20 week cycles are down....  There is a FED meeting which may impact the market mid-week. But, the cycles indicate a down week. 

Good luck traders

Different cycles  -  VIX-yield.  Goes counter clockwise....


Interesting